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Week 4 NFL Picks: Know How?

11h hour picks are here again. I'll be going 16-0 for sure this time.

With the MLB playoffs in full swing, college football getting into its conference schedules, the NHL season on the horizon, and being in full blown research mode for my Halloween costume, I'm having a lot less time to put this up in a timely matter. In fact, 11th hour picks might have to be the new name for this little feature if I can't start getting them up by Friday like I had planned. (By the way, would you rather have to listen to the vacuum cleaner in your ear for 20 minutes or have to sit through Rebecca Black's 'Friday' once?)

Anyway, I was 8-8 last week, losing a couple games in the standings to the lone commenter, my brother (a little better than having your mom be your only reader, I think).

Now bob your head and sing along like the fine Hispanic gentleman in the NAPA commercial and let's get all 'know how' on these picks.

Panthers (+6.5) over BEARS

I think the Bears will handle home field, but I think the Panthers are better than their 1-2 indicate, more so than the Bears, if that makes sense. Here: Panthers' point differential is one point less than Bears'. I know.

BENGALS (+2.5) over Bills

I'm still Billieving, Journey, but I don't think the Bills are going to be threatening the '72 Dolphins.

BROWNS (-1.5) over Titans

Taking the Browns to the Super Bowl every time here.

Lions (+2.5) over COWBOYS

Ndamukong Suh is going to eat Tony Romo's ribs for lunch and Calvin Johnson is going to be serving up a nice moldy bowl of crow to attention seeking retired football player Cris Carter.

RAMS (-0.5) over Redskins

I'd rather watch a Rebecca Black music video than this game.

EAGLES (-7.5) over 49ers

The 'Dream Team' is falling apart, but Michael Vick is playing in spite of Jim Harbaugh's suggestion. Eagles are doing a good job talking, but let's see them cover this game at home.

CHIEFS (+0.5) over Vikings

After last week's tank to the Lions, I wouldn't be surprised if the Vikings came out this week wearing their girdles over their pants. This team has to be completely demoralized.

Saints (-7.5) over JAGUARS

The last time these two teams met was 2007 and Saints won 41-27. What if that was the exact same score this week? What would you do???

TEXANS (-3.5) over Steelers

Arian Foster's hamstring is back to being awesome and the Texans know better than anyone that this is their statement game. I want to say Texans by two touchdowns.

Falcons (-3.5) over SEAHAWKS

No WAY Falcons lose this game by less than a touch if they're thinking playoffs down the road.

CARDINALS (+2.5) over Giants

If Beanie Wells plays.

CHARGERS (-7.5) over Dolphins

Daniel Thomas had a great game last week ... and he's inactive this week. Not yet, Dolphins.

Patriots (-4.5) over RAIDERS

Reality checks going around in this game like uncashed $70,000 check lying around in Ty Webb's living room.

PACKERS (-13.5) over Broncos

Only Tim Tebow can save this line.

RAVENS (-3.5) over Jets

ESPN did a 25-minute special on Rex Ryan's sweater vest. Good thing they're making the most of those added hours of coverage.

BUCS (-10.5) over Colts

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Last week: 8-8
Season: 26-22

Standings vs. a commenter, my brother (W-L ... GB)

ME: 26-22 ... -
D.P.: 24-24 ... 2 GB

Here's another football related NAPA commercial just for fun and no relevant reason whatsoever: